Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 2.659765 2.914803 3.189108 3.507002 3.866420 4.261523 4.730529
2025-10-26 2.305670 2.652821 3.050364 3.542794 4.141217 4.851102 5.766297
2025-11-02 2.072100 2.468504 2.943523 3.561710 4.355393 5.354753 6.732081
2025-11-09 1.852190 2.264523 2.775789 3.466825 4.392995 5.616107 7.396679
2025-11-16 1.698630 2.122737 2.664085 3.420078 4.472218 5.922116 8.141035
2025-11-23 1.584027 2.017992 2.586333 3.403617 4.580733 6.268008 8.974984
2025-11-30 1.524955 1.979723 2.590581 3.495070 4.843778 6.856910 10.250621
2025-12-07 1.437124 1.894403 2.521427 3.472471 4.932225 7.187083 11.154183
2025-12-14 1.354214 1.809382 2.445050 3.430255 4.982653 7.457369 11.988680
2025-12-21 1.255020 1.694683 2.317609 3.299742 4.880155 7.464617 12.354777
2025-12-28 1.205528 1.648152 2.285990 3.312258 5.005714 7.861806 13.488160
2026-01-04 1.169511 1.618728 2.277106 3.358289 5.188526 8.374915 14.922433
2026-01-11 1.135045 1.590570 2.269673 3.408304 5.387047 8.947734 16.598745
2026-01-18 1.101295 1.561458 2.258694 3.451263 5.577135 9.528738 18.407701
2026-01-25 1.065021 1.526201 2.235406 3.470907 5.725995 10.047749 20.183009
2026-02-01 1.007939 1.455503 2.151155 3.379291 5.660040 10.130751 20.957572
2026-02-08 0.964842 1.404626 2.095995 3.334073 5.676516 10.382228 22.188788
2026-02-15 0.930683 1.366249 2.059049 3.318142 5.747161 10.754777 23.804200
2026-02-22 0.918649 1.362721 2.079493 3.406668 6.031291 11.625729 26.947494
2026-03-01 0.887158 1.325896 2.041586 3.384795 6.089712 11.999334 28.801427
2026-03-08 0.854344 1.285420 1.995304 3.343930 6.104746 12.274203 30.435039
2026-03-15 0.808918 1.222197 1.906844 3.217568 5.928954 12.076133 30.582940
2026-03-22 0.789193 1.201231 1.891022 3.229689 6.050781 12.614525 33.199066